LIVE BLOG: Matthew Will Head Out To Sea, A Trail Of Destruction In Its Path

Tracking Hurricane Matthew

Oct 9, 10 p.m.  The last advisory has been issued for Matthew from the National Hurricane Center.  No doubt this will be a storm that many will remember.  

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The latest forecast track, computer models, radar and satellite imagery are posted below. 








Full NHC Advisory

Full NHC Discussion


Oct 9, 11 a.m. Post tropical cyclone Matthew continues to bring strong winds, immense rain totals to some areas on the outer banks and southeast Virginia, along with the Delmarva. In North Carolina, additional water rescues have been taking place this morning and the number of people rescued has now grown to more than 880 in North Carolina alone with large river levels rising to surpassing the previous levels. In Virginia Beach, winds have been gusting 60-75mph in the past several hours with also significant flooding underway. Instead of the path looping Matthew back around and down to the Bahamas like a few days ago, the path now has Matthew being absorbed into a front and rain spreads north into the drought-stricken northeast. Matthew is now responsible for 16 US deaths. 

Oct 9, 8 a.m. Post-tropical cyclone Matthew continues to bring hurricane-force wind gusts and sound-side storm surge to the outer banks of North Carolina, along with rain in far NE NC, E VA, and the Delmarva and up the coast. Interestingly, as Matthew has taken on this pseudo-tropical more extratropical change in its characteristics, the structure of the wind fields has changed. The hurricane force winds extend 70 miles outside of the center of Matthew, which is a larger area than we had seen when Matthew was a major hurricane with a tight, wrapped-up circulation. The forecast track takes Matthew east-northeast over today and into tonight, taking further away from land. In its path is a trail of devastation. To update on the historic flooding in the Carolinas- over 400 water rescues have taken place so far. Matthew is to be blamed for 11 US deaths in addition to the 800+ in Haiti.

Oct 9, 5 a.m. Matthew is now a post-tropical cyclone, meaning it lost some of its tropical characteristics as its interacted with a cold front and some colder air. Despite this technical change in the name, Matthew continues to produce immense rain rates across far eastern North Carolina and Virginia, as well as the Delmarva peninsula this morning. It is in the process of merging and getting swept up into a cold front that pushes through the DC metro today. In this process, southern Maryland is getting the brunt of the rain across our area. The current maximum sustained winds in Matthew are still hurricane-force, 75mph. Flooding and some coastal storm surge remain problematic this morning. The forecast track later today is for Matthew to be swept out to sea along this front, leaving many communities water-logged as it does so.
 

Oct 8, 10 p.m.: Amazing rain totals in North Carolina, some areas by evening had seen more than a foot with widespread flooding across eastern North Carolina.  Matthew looks like it is well on its way from a hurricane to a post tropical storm. It will pull away on Sunday and get absorbed by a frontal boundary. So, while Matthew's days are numbered, this historic storm's name will no doubt be retired. Look for a new 'M' storm on the list in 6 years, when the list is used again.  (The World Meteorological Organization comes up with the list of names.  The list is reused every 6 years.  A storm that has historical significance will have that name retired to avoid any confusion.)



Oct 8, 7 p.m.: The big story tonight will be the flooding rains that continue over eastern NC and possibly into SE VA.  Some rain totals by Sunday daybreak may top 20"!  Parts of I-95 and I-40 are closed due to flooding.  At the 5 PM advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Matthew was still a minimal hurricane with winds of 75 mph.  Those winds only extend about 25 miles from the center.  


Oct. 8, 3 p.m.: Matthew has been doing a lot of damage to areas along the coast around Myrtle Beach and bring torrential, life threatening floods to inland area.  Doppler estimates in the past 48 hours are approaching 11".



The Fayetville, NC Police Department were braving high waters to help residents.  While Matthew will likely weaken to a Tropical Storm later today or tonight, the flood issues will persist for several days.



Oct. 8, 11 a.m.:  Hurricane Matthew has made landfall southeast of McClellanville, South Carolina as a low-end Category 1 Hurricane. As a trail of damage continues to be discovered this morning in Matthew's past, South and North Carolinians are dealing with an immense amount of rainfall this morning and will continue to do so as Matthew creeps up the east coast the rest of today. Rain totals in some locations will well-exceed a foot. Inland flooding will be likely. Coastal flooding has also been very problematic due to storm surge from Georgia to South Carolina. Matthew will gradually weaken as it continues up the coast and then out to sea due to interactions with land, water temperatures not as warm as in Matthew's past, and a frontal system that will sweep Matthew out to sea. 

Oct. 8, 8 AM:  Hurricane Matthew has been downgraded to a Category 1 Hurricane. The eye wall has been right along the coastline. A wind gust at the Hilton Head, SC airport was recorded of 87mph. Meanwhile, storm surge on the coast has been 6 feet+ in some spots. From here, it's a long morning ahead of heavy rain in the lowcountry of South Carolina and up to eastern Virginia. Some rain totals could exceed 10". The path still keeps the eye hugging the coastline. 

Oct. 8, 5 AM:  Overnight, Hurricane Matthew has slowly worked up the Georgia coastline, with the eye remaining just offshore. The eyewall has been brushing some coastal islands in Georgia and South Carolina and the position of Matthew is currently only about 20 miles ESE of Hilton Head Island, SC. A 93mph wind gust was reported on Tybee Island, GA and an 87mph wind gust was reported on Beaufort Island, SC. Meanwhile, extremely dangerous inland flooding is taking place across parts the lowcountry of South Carolina and areas around Savannah, where the rain total has already exceeded 14". Roads to St. Simon's Island are blocked from flooding. The National Weather Service is urging Savannah residents to move to higher ground. Charleston is also flooded. Matthew is a category 2 and will remain just offshore with the eyewall just on the coast as Matthew continues its NE tread this AM in SC. Rain/flooding and storm surge are the biggest threats impacting the largest population.


Oct. 7, 8 PM:  Hurricane Matthew remains a high end category 2 with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. He is located 105 miles SSE of Savannah, Georgia and is moving north at 12 mph. Hurricane force winds will batter the Georgia coast overnight. Hurricane force winds will then batter the South Carolina coast by Saturday morning. 

Oct 7, 5 PM: Matthew is now a category 2 storm with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. The threshold for a 'major' hurricane is winds of 111 mph or greater. He is moving north at 12 mph and is 40 east of Jacksonville Beach, Florida. Winds right now are almost 60 mph in Jacksonville with winds over 90 mph along the coast. Winds 80 - 100 mph will hit the South Carolina coast overnight Friday and then hit the South Carolina coast Saturday. A storm surge of 9'- 14' is possible for the Georgia and South Carolina coast.

Oct 7, 2 p.m. Matthew is still a category 3 major hurricane as of the 2pm advisory with maximum sustained winds of 115mph. The eye has remained ever so slightly off the coast of Florida, keeping the strongest winds right offshore as well. This is very lucky news for those that Matthew has impacted so far, however, Matthew could still wobble further back towards the coastline a little bit over the next day. Currently the eye is located about 40 miles ESE of St. Augustine. The western part of the eye wall has gotten extremely close to the coast this morning and some wind gusts have been reported in Daytona Beach a few points north of over 85mph. Storm surge levels in Daytona Beach earlier were very impressive and terrifying at the same time. Storm surge continues to be a primary threat from Matthew from northern Florida up through Georgia and South Carolina. 

Oct 7, 11 a.m. Matthew is still a dangerous category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 120 miles per hour and gusts to 150mph. The eye has remained about 30-35 miles offshore throughout the morning as it has slowly made the journey northward up the Florida coast. Maximum wind gusts so far have exceeded 100 mph. The western outer fringes of the eyewall passed very near to Daytona beach. As it was doing so, live cameras showed an enormous amount of storm surge engulfing the coastline. Those in northeast Florida should expect similar deteriorating conditions over the next several hours. Storm surge levels will significantly increase. Winds will pick up. Georgia and South Carolina will also soon see conditions worsen as Matthew continues the journey north, and then curving northeast with a similar path to the coastal topography tonight and into early tomorrow. 

Oct 7, 8 a.m. A 100mph wind gust was reported near Port Canaveral, FL since the last update. The eye wall is very close to the coast. The core of the strongest winds are still just offshore by 30 miles or so, but if the eye wobble west ever so slightly, maximum winds could greatly increase as the hurricane continues its northward path. It's still a category 3 hurricane and conditions from Daytona Beach to Jacksonville will continue to worsen over the morning hours.

Oct. 7, 5 a.m. Matthew maintains Cat 3 strength. Although winds have decreased to 120 mph, this is still a major hurricane and still potentially dangerous for north Florida and Georgia and South Carolina. The pressure has remained steady as the winds decrease slightly and expand so there may be an eye wall replacement occurring. Matthew has remained just far enough off shore for south Florida, but that may not be the case for N. Florida and SC/GA as it continues its NW movement. Rain and storm surge will continue to be the biggest threat for aforementioned areas as the storm will continue to weaken to Cat 2 as it slides to the north today. 


Oct 7, 2 a.m. Matthew has weakened slightly to a Cat 3 hurricane; however, the diameter of max winds has expanded. Matthew has skimmed the coast lines of Florida, leaving most of the hurricane force winds offshore which is good news for southern Florida. Northern Florida, however, has yet to see the worst conditions. With this expanded wind field, storm surge could grow to be an even bigger threat for the Georgia and South Carolina coast lines. Some weakening may occur today; however, Matthew should remain a Cat 3 Major Hurricane for much of the rest of Friday. 


Oct 6, 11 PM: Matthew's pressure is steady compared to the 8 PM reading of 939 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 130 mph with gusts over 150 mph. He is about 125 miles SE of the Kennedy Space Center and moving northwest at 13 mph. The latest track from the National Hurricane Center is a bit to the east of previous tracks. This is very important and could really cut down on the damage. A shift of only 30 miles east could keep most of the hurricane force winds off shore. Gusts over 75 mph look like a lock at the Kennedy Space Center Friday morning but that is better than 100 mph winds forecasted in earlier tracks. Heavy rain and flooding still the most dangerous problem for coastal Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina where 10" - 15" of rain will fall.

Oct., 6: 8 PM: Maximum sustained winds are now 130 mph.Matthew is located about 75 miles east of West Palm Beach and moving northwest at 13 mph. Hurricane force winds should move ashore on the Florida coast overnight. Matthew will pull away from the Grand Bahama Island after hitting Freeport and the island very hard. 
 

Oct. 6, 5 PM: Hurricane Matthew remains a category 4 storm with sustained winds of 140 mph with gusts over 160 mph. There was a slight pressure drop since the 2 PM advisory. Current location is 100 miles ESE of West Palm Beach moving NW at 12 mph. Hurricane force winds should buffet the east coast of Florida by Friday morning. The highest winds should hit the Kennedy Space Center  early Friday morning and then St. Augustine around lunchtime where winds should speeds as high as 110 mph. Rainfall in Florida will be generally 3" - 7" but 8" - 15" along and just inland of the GA and SC coasts.Oct 6, 2 p.m. President Obama has declared a State of Emergency in Florida as potentially catastrophic Hurricane Matthew approaches.

Matthew is a strong Category 4 Hurricane located only 125 miles away from West Palm Beach Florida. Maximum sustained winds in the eye wall are 140 miles per hour with wind gusts of 165 miles per hour. It continues on a path northwestward towards the eastern Florida coast.

Outer rain bands and squalls are beginning to affect southeast Florida this afternoon. Wind gusts will become more ferocious as Matthew gets closer and closer to the coastline. Hurricane force winds extend about 60 miles from the center of the storm, but tropical storm force winds extend up to 160 miles outside the center. These tropical storm-force winds are already beginning to impact southeast Florida this afternoon. In addition, seas continue to get more aggressive with storm surge becoming more of an issue into this evening.

All signs point to an extremely dangerous and in some locations, catastrophic storm. Worst-case scenario, locations along Florida's east coast could be without power for at least a week with locations uninhabitable for a long duration due to the extent of the damage.

If a luckier scenario plays out, Matthew's core of the strong winds along the eye wall would be a little further off shore and the extent of the hurricane-force winds and damage would not be as widespread. For those in northern Florida, GA & SC debating to evacuate- I urge you to do so if you are under a mandatory evacuation; it is not worth the risk. Matthew has already claimed the lives of over 100 people in Haiti, and several others in other countries.


Oct 6, 11 a.m.  Matthew has re-strengthened to a Category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of 140mph and wind gusts. The eyewall has been passing over parts of Nassau in the Bahamas conditions on the east coast of Florida will deteriorate later today and throughout Friday as it works up the coast. 

Oct. 6, 8 a.m.  Matthew continues to show signs of strengthening as the eyewall nears Nassau in the Bahamas. Video coming in from Nassau show winds picking up, with the worst occurring over the coming 3 hours. The outer feeder bands of Matthew will soon be impacting southeast coast of Florida with windspeeds picking up later in the day. Final preparations need to be wrapping up from Vero Beach south, and by the afternoon for places like Orlando. All signs point towards a significant and potentially catastrophic hit for the coastline between West Palm Beach and Jacksonville where the strongest winds will last for longest. If the eyewall rides up the coast, power outages could be widespread and last for a week or more. Bridges and roadways that lead to barrier islands could be damaged or destroyed. Life-threatening storm surge will occur in many locations, especially along the bend in the coastline from Jacksonville through Georgia and into Charleston, SC. 

Oct. 6, 5 a.m. Matthew looks more impressive on satellite and has regained a bit of strength as a stronger Cat 3 hurricane. Matthew continues its northwesterly movement and is expected to hit the Florida east coast as a Cat 4 hurricane later this evening through much of Friday. Hurricane warnings and  watches have been expanded northward along Georgia and South Carolina coastlines. North of Florida, the combination of land interaction and increased wind shear should weaken Matthew slightly before it makes impact in South Carolina; however, the rain and storm surge will be a big threat for all aforementioned regions. Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for the Florida Gulf Coast due to high wind gusts possible because of Matthew's westerly position. 

Oct. 6, 2 a.m. Matthew is currently pounding the Bahamas and has maintained its strength as a Cat 3 with winds at 115 mph and is still expected to strengthen as it approaches the Florida coast lines later this evening. Hurricane force winds extend 45 miles out from the center of the storm. Tropical storm watches have been issued for the west coast of Florida. Rain fall totals are expected to be between 4 - 7" with some areas near 10" along the Florida east coast. 

Oct. 5, 11 p.m. Despite a slight pressure fall Hurricane Matthew's highest sustained winds continue at 115 mph with gusts to 140 mph. Movement continues northwest at 10 mph. He is currently located 125 miles southeast of Nassau and 325 miles southeast of West Palm Beach. The latest forecast is about the same but with the storm remaining a category 3 as it hammers the Bahamas but then it is forecast to strengthen to a category 4 just before hitting the east of Florida Thursday afternoon through Friday evening as it hugs the Florida coast.

Oct 5, 8:00 p.m: Matthew's sustained winds are down to 115 mph but still remains a category 3 storm. He continues to move NW at 12 mph. His current location is 170 miles SSE of Nassau and 370 miles SE of West Palm Beach. A hurricane warning covers most of the east coast of Florida and a hurricane watch is in effect just north of the GA/SC border. Matthew will continue to hammer the Bahamas overnight and then set its sights on the southeast coast of Florida late Thursday morning. 

Oct 5, 5:00 p.m.  Matthew is still a Category 3 hurricane with winds of 120 mph. It's intensity has remained steady this afternoon, but the storm looks more organized on satellite imagery and is expected to strengthen some tonight into Thursday.  The NHC track places the storm now on the east coast of Florida on Friday passing over the Kennedy Space Center around lunch time with forecast sustained winds of 130 mph.

Oct 5, 2:30 p.m. The NHC advisory at 2 PM had no change on Matthew's strength.  The storm is still moving NW around 12 mph.  Concern not only for the Bahamas but for the East Coast of Florida as well.

LOCATION...22.1N 75.3W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NNE OF CABO LUCRECIA CUBA
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM S OF LONG ISLAND BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES

Oct 5, 1 p.m.  Matthew is now over the open waters and the storm appears to be strengthening again.
Hurricane Warnings are now posted for parts of Florida, as the Category 3 storm prepares to cut across the Bahamas at 10 mph. Matthew is anticipated to strengthen tonight and early tomorrow passing off the Florida coast from near West Palm Beach up towards Jacksonville on its way to Charleston, SC. After that, a turn toward the east, away from land is expected.

Oct 5, 11 a.m. As Matthew pulls away from Cuba, winds increase just a bit to 120 mph. Also, the speed has increased slightly moving to the North at 12 mph. Matthew will continue to recover from its trek through the Greater Antilles and regain strength as it barrels through the Bahamas and heads closer to Florida. In fact, the updated track inches closer to the East Coast, bringing potentially greater impacts to Florida and SC coastlines but it also makes a sharper southeastern turn after brushing by Wilmington, NC leaving the DMV with fewer impacts, if any. 

Oct 5, 8 a.m. Matthew maintains Cat 3 status but winds have decreased to 115 mph. While Matthew heads through the Bahamas today, strengthening is expected. Smooth terrain, low wind shear and warm waters keep the forecast of Matthew reaching Cat 4 strength before approaching Florida's east coast. 
 

Oct 5, 5 a.m. New model runs from the GFS and EURO have greatly influenced the updated track of Matthew after North Carolina. Matthew is now forecasted to possibly make a sharper turn to the east after NC. Matthew is still a Category 3 and is less impressive looking on the satellite imagery after making its way through Cuba's terrain. Today, the Bahamas will see the brunt of the storm with 10-15' ft of storm surge possible. Matthew may even strengthen back to Cat 4 by tomorrow and heads to the east coast of Florida. A slight jog to the east may make all the difference to the Florida coast lines and SC/NC. The exact impacts of the US areas are still to be determine, but the change in the long term track is something to take note for the DMV. 

Oct 5, 2 a.m.  Matthew weakened slightly to a Category 3 hurricane but is expected to re-strengthen as a Category 4 as it moves over the Bahamas in a conducive hurricane environment.  The storm is slowly moving to the north today and will impact the Bahamas for much of the day. Hurricane watches for parts of Florida, including Lake Okeechobee and from Golden Beach to Sebastian Inlet have been upgraded to warnings. This means hurricane conditions are expected. Florida is expected to see impacts as early as Thursday. Matthew should have impacts up the east coast including South Carolina and North Carolina. What type or the level of impacts north of Wilmington are still yet to be determined. 

Oct. 4, 8:00 p.m. No change in strength since the 5 PM advisory. Winds are still 140 mph with gusts to 165 mph. The eye is moving over the eastern tip of Cuba. The movement is also the same: north at 9 mph. Hurricane Matthew is now headed for the Bahamas. A storm surge of 15' is possible over most of the islands.

Oct. 4, 5:00 p.m.  Matthew will be approaching the eastern tip of Cuba this evening as a dangerous Category 4 hurricane. Matthew is slightly weaker at 5 PM...sustained winds are down to 140 mph with gusts to 165 mph. This slight weakening is due to the interaction with the land masses of Hispañiola and Cuba, but with Matthew heading toward a track right over the Bahamas, the storm will likely maintain its strength at least through Thursday.Oct. 4, 2:00 p.m.   Matthew is on the way to the eastern tip of Cuba with winds still at 145 mph sustained with higher gusts...tropical storm force winds are already being felt on Cuba.

LOCATION...19.4N 74.3W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ESE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSW OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.02 INCHES

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

Oct. 4, 1:30 p.m.  Parts of Florida are now under watches:  A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Deerfield Beach, Florida to the Volusia/Brevard county line. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from the Seven Mile Bridge in the Florida Keys northward to south of Deerfield Beach, including Lake Okeechobee

Oct. 4, 11 a.m.  Matthew made landfall near Les Anglais about 700 AM EDT. Winds were sustained around 145 mph with higher gusts. Widespread flooding and damage is being reported.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

Oct. 4, 8 a.m. Matthew has made landfall in Western Haiti and will continue to be an extremely dangerous and life-threatening day for Haiti. The storm is still moving slowly to the north at 9 mph and will be in the Gulf of Gonave before the lunch hour. Matthew will move NW later today and be near eastern Cuba as early as the afternoon. Matthew will then be near the southeastern Bahamas by this evening. 

Oct. 4, 7 a.m. Eye of extremely dangerous Hurricane Matthew makes landfall near Le Anglais in Western Haiti at 7 AM EDT this morning.

Oct. 4, 5 a.m.  Hurricane watches upgraded to Hurricane warnings for the Bahamas. Tropical Storm warning issued for Turks and Caicos. Matthew maintains its intensity of a power Category 4 storm. Today is a very dangerous day for Haiti. Matthew may make landfall in a few hours or skirt just to the west of Haiti's southwest coastline. There may be some weakening due to land interaction but the environment over the Bahamas is one that is conducive to support a hurricane and will stay major hurricane status through Friday. Matthew is forecasted to impact Florida by the end of the week and potentially the DMV at some point this weekend. 

Oct. 4, 3 a.m. Matthew maintains powerful Category 4 status with winds at 145 mph and gusts up to 175 mph. It is bearing down on Haiti and Jamaica Tuesday morning. The center of the storm is still just south of of Haiti's southwestern coastlines. Matthew should make landfall in Haiti today. The latest forecast has a more westerly track, this means more impacts for Florida are possible by the end of the week. 

***** MONDAY, Oct. 3, 2016 ****

Oct. 3, 11 p.m. Hurricane Matthew has strengthened a bit and now has sustained winds of 145 mph and gusts to to 175 mph. It is now located 190 miles southwest of Port Au Prince, Haiti.The pressure is steady compared to the 8 PM reading of 27.58 inches of mercury. The state of Florida has now been declared a state of emergency. Haiti and eastern Cuba will take a pounding overnight.

Oct. 3, 8 p.m. Matthew is still a category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of around 140 mph. He is located about 200 miles southwest of Port Au Prince, Haiti. Conditions will rapidly deteriorate in the next 6 hours as hurricane force winds begin to affect Haiti and become fierce overnight. This a very dangerous hurricane. The movement is now north northeast at 8 mph.  The pressure continues to fall from 27.76 to 27.58 inches of mercury since 5 PM.

Oct. 3, 5 p.m. Based on latest Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter flight, winds are still 140 mph with gusts as high as 165 mph. Matthew is about 225 miles SSW of Port Au Prince, Haiti and moving north at 7 mph. Matthew is forecasted to stay at Category 4 strength for at least the next 24 hours. The updated forecast track has a slight jog to the left or west.  This storm will bring life threatening rain, winds and storm surge to Haiti. The most critical times for Haiti and eastern Cuba is from midnight Tuesday until 9 PM Tuesday. In addition to winds over 140 mph 15" - 25" of rain will fall causing massive flooding.

Oct. 3, 11 a.m. Based on latest Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter flight, winds have increased slightly to 140 mph with gusts as high as 165 mph. Matthew is forecasted to stay Category 4 strength for at least the next 24 hours. The updated forecast track has a slight jog to the left.  This storm will bring life threatening rain, winds and storm surge to Haiti.

Oct. 3, 9:45 a.m. Rainfall totals and wind speeds will be impressive but storm surge will be another major threat and possibly devastating. Water levels may rise 10-15 ft above normal tide levels in parts of the Bahamas, 7-11 ft above normal tide levels in southern Cuba and 7-10 FT in southern Haiti. 

Oct. 3, 8 a.m.  Sustained wind speed remains at 130 mph, which is consistent with the Monday 2 AM and 5 AM update. This is still Category 4 status but slightly weaker than 145 mph winds reported in the Sunday 11 PM update. 

Parts of southern Haiti could end up with 15-25", isolated accounts up to 40" of rain, leading to life-threatening flooding, in addition to storm surge and dangerous winds. Guantanamo Bay and the eastern tip of Cuba are next in line form what is still expected to be a Category 4 storm at landfall.

The Central Bahamas look to be next in line early in the coming week. Significant impacts are expected for locations closest to the center of circulation with this storm. Right now, it looks like western Haiti and Eastern Jamaica could take a beating.

As far as the impact to the United States, that jury is still out. Matthew is still a long ways out and we have plenty of time to watch what the storm will do. There is a possibility Matthew could hug closer to the coast, but it could also stay well out to sea.

ABOUT:  Matthew became the first Category 5 Storm in the Atlantic Basin since Felix in 2007 on Friday. One of the things most remarkable with Matthew was its rapid intensification throughout the day on Friday. Over a 24 hour period starting Thursday night and ending Friday night when Matthew achieved Category 5- status, the storm's maximum sustained winds strengthened 80 mph. There have only been two storms to have faster intensification rates: Wilma in 2005 and Felix in 2007.


 

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