9WEATHER NOW & The National Weather Service

Latest Mesoscale Discussion from the Storm Prediction Center

5289


ACUS11 KWNS 051720


SWOMCD


SPC MCD 051720 


SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-051815-





MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1688


NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK


1220 PM CDT SAT JUL 05 2008





AREAS AFFECTED...S-CENTRAL GA / PARTS OF SC COASTAL PLAIN





CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 





VALID 051720Z - 051815Z





STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE PULSE-LIKE STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP


OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR WET MICROBURSTS


AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREATS.  A


WW IS UNLIKELY BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.





VISIBLE SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW RECENT


DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS FROM NEAR CSG EXTENDING EWD TO


NEAR SAV.  RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK LOW LEVEL


CONVERGENCE WITHIN THE AFOREMENTIONED ZONE AND THE AIRMASS HAS


QUICKLY DESTABILIZED WITH TEMPS/DEWPTS NEAR 90F/70F RESPECTIVELY. 


MODIFIED TLH/CHS 12Z RAOBS FOR 90/70 SUGGEST MODERATE INSTABILITY


HAS DEVELOPED /2000-3000 J/KG MLCAPE/...AND COMBINED WITH STEEPENED


LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...THIS WOULD IN TURN SUPPORT DAMAGING WIND


POTENTIAL.  RELATIVELY HIGH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS /AOA 12KFT/ WOULD


TEND TO LIMIT THE OVERALL LARGE HAIL THREAT.





..SMITH.. 07/05/2008





...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...





ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...





33138555 32948299 33058086 33028016 32777997 32258030


31678100 31518248 31458428 31568549 31818577 32728574 










5275


ACUS11 KWNS 051720


SWOMCD


SPC MCD 051720 


SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-051815-





MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1688


NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK


1220 PM CDT SAT JUL 05 2008





AREAS AFFECTED...S-CENTRAL GA / PARTS OF SC COASTAL PLAIN





CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 





VALID 051720Z - 051815Z





STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE PULSE-LIKE STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP


OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR WET MICROBURSTS


AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREATS.  A


WW IS UNLIKELY BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.





VISIBLE SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW RECENT


DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS FROM NEAR CSG EXTENDING EWD TO


NEAR SAV.  RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK LOW LEVEL


CONVERGENCE WITHIN THE AFOREMENTIONED ZONE AND THE AIRMASS HAS


QUICKLY DESTABILIZED WITH TEMPS/DEWPTS NEAR 90F/70F RESPECTIVELY. 


MODIFIED TLH/CHS 12Z RAOBS FOR 90/70 SUGGEST MODERATE INSTABILITY


HAS DEVELOPED /2000-3000 J/KG MLCAPE/...AND COMBINED WITH STEEPENED


LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...THIS WOULD IN TURN SUPPORT DAMAGING WIND


POTENTIAL.  RELATIVELY HIGH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS /AOA 12KFT/ WOULD


TEND TO LIMIT THE OVERALL LARGE HAIL THREAT.





..SMITH.. 07/05/2008





...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...





ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...





33138555 32948299 33058086 33028016 32777997 32258030


31678100 31518248 31458428 31568549 31818577 32728574 





WWWW









000


ACUS11 KWNS 051720


SWOMCD


SPC MCD 051720 


SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-051815-





MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1688


NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK


1220 PM CDT SAT JUL 05 2008





AREAS AFFECTED...S-CENTRAL GA / PARTS OF SC COASTAL PLAIN





CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 





VALID 051720Z - 051815Z





STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE PULSE-LIKE STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP


OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR WET MICROBURSTS


AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREATS.  A


WW IS UNLIKELY BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.





VISIBLE SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW RECENT


DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS FROM NEAR CSG EXTENDING EWD TO


NEAR SAV.  RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK LOW LEVEL


CONVERGENCE WITHIN THE AFOREMENTIONED ZONE AND THE AIRMASS HAS


QUICKLY DESTABILIZED WITH TEMPS/DEWPTS NEAR 90F/70F RESPECTIVELY. 


MODIFIED TLH/CHS 12Z RAOBS FOR 90/70 SUGGEST MODERATE INSTABILITY


HAS DEVELOPED /2000-3000 J/KG MLCAPE/...AND COMBINED WITH STEEPENED


LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...THIS WOULD IN TURN SUPPORT DAMAGING WIND


POTENTIAL.  RELATIVELY HIGH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS /AOA 12KFT/ WOULD


TEND TO LIMIT THE OVERALL LARGE HAIL THREAT.





..SMITH.. 07/05/2008





...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...





ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...





33138555 32948299 33058086 33028016 32777997 32258030


31678100 31518248 31458428 31568549 31818577 32728574