265

ACUS02 KWNS 071717

SWODY2

SPC AC 071716



DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1116 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2009



VALID 081200Z - 091200Z



...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...



...SYNOPSIS...

BROAD BELT OF FAST WSWLY FLOW ALOFT IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE FROM THE

WRN CONUS INTO ERN CANADA...WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED SMALL-SCALE

FEATURES PROGRESSING QUICKLY ENEWD.



FARTHER S...A WEAK TROUGH WILL CONTINUE CROSSING THE SOUTHWEST

U.S./MEXICO...WITH A RIDGE PREVAILING OVER THE ERN U.S. FROM THE

LOWER GREAT LAKES SWD INTO THE GULF/WRN ATLANTIC.  



WITHIN THE ERN U.S. RIDGE...T.S. IDA IS PROGGED TO SHIFT NWD INTO

THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.



SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED/OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE

ACROSS THE COASTAL PAC NW -- PARTICULARLY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF

THE PERIOD AS MOIST SWLY LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES.  



MINIMAL DESTABILIZATION IS ALSO PROGGED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE

GULF...AND SHOULD EXPAND NWD INTO THE S CENTRAL U.S. AHEAD OF THE

APPROACHING SRN STREAM TROUGH.  THIS SHOULD SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN

SHOWERS AND A OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WRN

GULF...EVENTUALLY SPREADING INTO TX AND COASTAL LA.  CONVECTION WILL

ALSO INCREASE OVER THE CENTRAL AND ERN GULF AS IDA MOVES NWD...WITH

A FEW SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS

SYSTEM POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE FL KEYS.  IN ALL AREAS

HOWEVER...KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN

UNSUPPORTIVE OF APPRECIABLE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.



..GOSS.. 11/07/2009