4 years ago
In a referendum today, 10/25/06, on ballot Question 1, which would amend the Virginia constitution to define marriage, 35% of Likely Voters remain 'Not Certain' how they will vote. Of those voters who are certain, 37% are 'Certain Yes,' 28% are 'Certain No.'
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 9/29/06, Yes and No have moved in parallel. Then, the measure passed by 10 points, with 52% 'Not Certain.'
Today, 'Certain Yes' is up 8 points. 'Certain No' is up 9 points. Democrats oppose the measure by 27 points, up from 5. Republicans support it by 46 points, up from 33.
Only among Democrats is the movement in opposite directions: 'Certain No' Democrats are up 14 points, from 28% to 42%. 'Certain Yes' Democrats are down 8 points from 23% to 15%.
In the DC suburbs, the measure trails by 5 points. In the Shenandoah, the measure leads by 25 points.
Those supporting George Allen for Senator back the measure 6:1. Those supporting Jim Webb for Senator oppose the measure 3:1.
SurveyUSA did not read the complete text of the constitutional amendment to respondents. The exact language SurveyUSA read to respondents appears was: "Also on the ballot is Question 1, concerning marriage. On Question 1, are you certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or, are you not yet certain how you will vote on Question 1?"
The election is in 13 days, on 11/7/06.
SurveyUSA
