A Little Ice? My thinking has not changed much since yesterday...the models are underestimating the cold of the air mass we'll have in place Today and Tonight. That will have a huge impact on the kind of weather we see on Sunday. The center of this big storm will plow into the Great Lakes on Sunday Morning...we will see a warm front approaching from the South. The big question for us is: When does the warm front go through? If the sky is clear early Tonight, the temps will have a chance to drop close to or below freezing. At the same time, a big area of High Pressure will be going across the NE...it's a good set up for cold air damming. If you are watching the models Today, keep two things in mind: 1. The precip comes in earlier than forecasted in an overrunning situation most of the time. 2. The models almost always try to break up the cold air damming too fast. So, with all of that said, I still think there is a chance that we could see 4 or 5 hours of snow, sleet or freezing rain Late Tonight or Sunday Morning. The warm air will eventually win later in the day. After that, the storm will transfer its energy to a new center near the New England Coast and a very strong cold front will move in here Late Sunday Night. I don't think the cold air will catch up to the moisture, but our temps will be falling all day Monday and some Lake Effect Snow showers might sneak in here by Monday Evening. I believe our best chance for accumulating snow will come during the middle of next week with a clipper storm.

Questions or Comments: weathertalk@wusa9.com  ¶ 6:06 AM