It's Clipper Time
OK, now that we have had the big winds on Monday...let's talk about the mid week clipper. Wednesday still looks like the target day. Most of the computer models bring the center of the Low across Northern VA. This is a good track. I think the light snow will start sometime in the morning and end in the evening. I have looked at all of the precip type parameters, and I do not see anything that would indicate that it would mix or change to sleet or rain. The NAM and the GFS have the 1000 to 850 MB thickness below 1300 and the 850 to 700 MB thickness below 1540 for the entire event. BTW...if you are forecasting at home, these are the best parameters to look at for precip type. So, with that said...here's my first call at totals: 1" - 2"...there could be a little more in the mountains.
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