A Good Rain
This is about a good a set up as we could ask for in the middle of a drought...a side from a tropical system coming through. Our front is now stalled across VA and we will see small areas of low pressure ride along it over the next 24 to 36 hrs. That means a nice overrunning rain event...most of the models are coming up with a QPF of 1 to 2 inches by the end of the day Thursday! This front will not be able to move until a big area of high pressure moves from the Great Lakes into New England. The question for us is: will it come close enough and be strong enough to suppress all of this rain activity to the South? It will be a close call...we may end up in a squeeze play between the upper low to our SW and the surface High to our NE...that would continue the shower activity through the end of the week. If the High is strong enough, we will get a break from the rain starting late Thursday into Friday. Either way, the upper low will open up and move NE giving us another chance for rain on Saturday....this is good stuff!