Weather Talk with Tony Pann
Tuesday, September 25, 2007
  Any Changes?
There will be a few changes, in the short term, as we move towards the end of the week. A fairly strong cold front will move through on Thursday. I think it will be able to tap into a little Gulf moisture and bring in some much needed rain. Unfortunately, the 500 mb trof does not go negative until it gets right over us....that means most of the energy, and the deepening surface low, will move into New England...it will take most of the rain with it. However, the dew points will be in the 60s and the lifted index should be around -1 or -2 on Thursday, so we should at least get scattered t-storms. Local rain amounts could be near 1 inch, but most areas will get much less. After this system passes, the upper level ridge builds back in over the weekend and rain chances will be sparse. The Canadian Model does try to develop a low off the SE coast by Monday...it then throws some rain up our way...but it's the only model picking this up right now. The ECMWF and the UKMET both show an inverted trof off shore at that time, but no defined area of low pressure...we'll see. There will be no help from any of the tropical features out there right now...Karen will be a "fish" storm and the one in the Gulf should stay down there.

Weather Talk Radio: www.weathertalkradio.com
 
Comments: Post a Comment





<< Home