New DC Mayoral Poll!

The Democratic Mayoral Primary race has become too close to call according to a poll taken by Bernard Demczuk, Assistant Vice President at George Washington University. The contest is clearly between Fenty and Cropp.

Demczuk a longtime democratic activist surveyed voters in all eight wards and says the voters he sampled at local Super Markets reflect the historic voting populations and patterns in city-wide elections. Here’s what he found! Adrian Fenty got 41.20%, Linda Cropp 38.00%, Michael Brown 8.60%, Vincent Orange 6.50%, Marie Johns 3.80%, undecided 1.60%.

 

650 voting Democrats at 25 sites were surveyed from Mid April to May 6^th.

Demczuk says women were more represented than men because they vote in greater numbers.

 

The race for Council Chairman is too close to call if you believe his numbers!

Vincent Gray has 47.60% and Kathy Patterson has 47.50%.

 

For the At Large Council seat the incumbent is clearly ahead.

Phil Mendelson has 57.90% compared to Scott Bolden’s 33.49%

 

The demographics were broken down this way by Demczuk; Blacks 64.90%, White 31.60%, Hispanics 2.70%, Asian .60%

 

From his Super Market survey Demczuk concludes in part that voters in general feel satisfied with the quality of life in the city; but do not feel the city is heading in the right direction. Blacks in particular he concludes are very angry at the lack of affordable housing, poor education and crime. Whites on the other hand are generally pleased with the city and its government. Many whites, however believe the city government must prevent the city from becoming all rich and all white.

 

In what might come as a surprise to some, Demczuk says the new stadium and building a new hospital virtually never surfaced as issues, not even in black neighborhoods.

 

It should be pointed out that Bernard Demczuk’s survey is weighted toward a larger than usual black turnout.